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Determinants of Voting Behaviors in the UK's EU Referendum


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Title: Determinants of Voting Behaviors in the UK's EU Referendum
Authors: Hirooka, Kurumi / Komatsu, Satoru
Issue Date: 18-Mar-2019
Publisher: 長崎大学多文化社会学部 / School of Global Humanities and Social Sciences, Nagasaki University
Citation: 多文化社会研究, 5, pp.95-110; 2019
Abstract: The objectives of the paper include the investigation of the determinants of voting behaviors on the UK’s EU Referendum. The novelty of this study is that it includes not only various socioeconomic variables in its evaluation but also the perceived preferences, namely, risk and time preferences. Data from 149 British citizens on voting behaviors were collected through a questionnaire survey conducted in person or online. A binary logit model was employed to estimate the determinants. Estimation results indicated that respondents who are older tended to vote to leave. Respondents with higher educational attainment tended to vote to remain. Furthermore, respondents who indicated four factors as important determinants of their voting behaviors (i.e., travel and living abroad, job prospects, international trade and solidarity with EU members) tended to vote to remain. The results also indicated that the time preferences and risk preferences of the respondents showed no statistically significant relationships with voting behaviors. Prior consultation with others before the referendum also had no statistical effect on voters’ choices. Several explanations are provided to examine the relationships between personal preferences and voting behaviors. The results yield key information for discussing implications and directions for the attitudes and behaviors of national referendums.
Keywords: Voting Behaviors / Determinants / EU Referendum / UK
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10069/38908
ISSN: 21891486
Type: Departmental Bulletin Paper
Text Version: none
Appears in Collections:Volume 5

Citable URI : http://hdl.handle.net/10069/38908

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